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Data blackout contributes to murky Fed policy outlook

Data blackout contributes to murky Fed policy outlook

Summary

There is uncertainty about whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in its upcoming December meeting. Some members of the rate-setting committee disagree on the best direction for policy, especially with high inflation and limited economic data.

Key Facts

  • The Federal Reserve is undecided on cutting interest rates next month.
  • Boston Fed President Susan Collins opposes cutting rates soon.
  • There are significant disagreements within the Fed, with some Trump-appointed governors pushing for rate cuts.
  • The chance of a December rate cut dropped from previous months.
  • Lack of sufficient economic data adds to the uncertainty of decision-making.
  • If no rates are cut, up to three governors might disagree publicly, which is rare.
  • If rates are cut, several members, including Collins, might oppose.
  • Chair Jerome Powell faces challenges due to these internal disagreements and missing data.

Source Information