Summary
A study by the Pew Research Center found that President Trump would still have won the 2024 election even if all eligible voters had cast a ballot. Trump won against Kamala Harris with nearly 50% of the votes, and Pew's survey showed he would have had a larger win if everyone had voted.
Key Facts
- The Pew Research Center study indicated Trump would win the 2024 election even with full voter turnout.
- In the actual election, Trump received 49.7% of the vote, while Kamala Harris got 48.2%.
- About 64% of eligible voters participated in 2024, which is the second highest turnout since 1904.
- Even if all eligible voters had voted, Trump's margin would have been 48%-45% against Harris.
- The Pew survey included nearly 9,000 voters and verified their voting history using voter files.
- Non-voters from 2024 said they would have favored Trump 44%-40%.
- Trump's support in 2024 became more ethnically diverse and younger compared to previous elections.
- Trump kept more of his 2020 voters (85%) compared to Harris, who retained 79% of Biden's voters.
