Sir John Curtice: Reform challenging traditional party dominance
Summary
The Reform party has won seats in the recent British elections, threatening the traditional prominence of the Conservatives and Labour. The party won the Runcorn and Helsby by-election and a key mayoral seat in Greater Lincolnshire, although failed to win in Doncaster, North Tyneside, and the West of England.Key Facts
- The Reform party won the Runcorn and Helsby by-election and the Greater Lincolnshire Mayoral position.
- The party did not win the contests in Doncaster, North Tyneside, and the West of England, narrowly losing to Labour.
- The elections experienced early results indicating significant gains for the Reform party.
- So far, the Reform party has received 39% of the total vote, placing it ahead of its competitors.
- This is the first time an anti-European Union party has won a by-election afresh.
- The Reform party's gain largely came at the expense of the Conservatives.
- The Conservatives experienced a significant drop in votes, with an average vote decrease of 25 points since May 2021.
- Support for the Labour party has also declined significantly since the general election, despite a few mayoral successes.
- Neither the Liberal Democrats nor the Greens had a significant change in their support levels despite high hopes. Both experienced a support level similar to that of four years ago.
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