Summary
In 2025, Democrats have been performing better than expected in several elections. They have narrowed margins in districts where President Donald Trump previously won by large numbers. This trend is evident in special elections and gubernatorial races.
Key Facts
- Democrats have reduced Republican margins in several special elections in 2025.
- In Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District, Democrat Aftyn Behn lost by about 9 points, narrowing the gap from a 22-point difference in 2024.
- Democrat Abigail Spanberger won the gubernatorial race in Virginia by approximately 15 points, while Trump lost the state by 5.8 points in 2024.
- In New Jersey, Democrat Mikie Sherrill widened her victory margin to 14.4 points in the gubernatorial race.
- Democrats improved their standing in Florida’s 1st and 6th Congressional Districts, though Republicans retained the seats.
- In New York's 22nd Senate District, Democrat Sam Sutton won by a significant margin, marking a large shift from Trump's 55-point win in 2024.
- Democrats flipped Iowa Senate District 1 and District 35, significantly outperforming Trump's previous margins.
