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Jasmine Crockett's Chances of Beating James Talarico in Texas Primary—Poll

Jasmine Crockett's Chances of Beating James Talarico in Texas Primary—Poll

Summary

In the Texas Democratic primary for the 2026 Senate race, Representative Jasmine Crockett leads state Representative James Talarico by 8 points, according to a poll. The survey, conducted by Texas Southern University, shows Crockett receiving 51% support from likely voters compared to Talarico's 43%.

Key Facts

  • Jasmine Crockett has a lead of 8 points over James Talarico in the poll.
  • The poll included 1,600 likely Democratic primary voters.
  • The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 2.45%.
  • Crockett is leading among women, older voters, and Black voters.
  • Talarico has more support from white, male, Latino, and younger voters.
  • 21% of voters are unfamiliar with Talarico, compared to 6% for Crockett.
  • Crockett's campaign is seen as more likely to energize Democratic voters.
  • Texas has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994.

Source Information