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NBA Expansion Betting Odds: Will League Add New Team Before 2030?

NBA Expansion Betting Odds: Will League Add New Team Before 2030?

Summary

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver announced that the NBA will decide on expanding their league in 2026, with strong interest in adding teams in Las Vegas and Seattle. Prediction markets like Kalshi show a high probability, at 79%, that the NBA will expand before 2030. Silver notes that expansion could financially affect current team owners.

Key Facts

  • The NBA will decide on adding new teams in 2026.
  • Seattle and Las Vegas are potential locations for these new teams.
  • Seattle had an NBA team, the SuperSonics, from 1967 to 2008.
  • Las Vegas is often referred to as the 31st NBA city due to its basketball activity.
  • Prediction market Kalshi shows a 79% chance of the NBA expanding before 2030.
  • NBA expansion could decrease the equity share of current team owners.
  • A potential expansion is seen as likely by many observers, rather than just possible.
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