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GOP Gets Midterm Warning from Most Accurate Pollster

GOP Gets Midterm Warning from Most Accurate Pollster

Summary

A recent poll by AtlasIntel suggests that if midterm elections were held now, more people would vote for Democrats than Republicans. This creates concern for the GOP, particularly given their narrow majority in the U.S. House and Senate. The poll also shows President Trump's approval rating has declined.

Key Facts

  • AtlasIntel's poll says 54.4% would vote for Democrats, while 38.4% would pick Republicans.
  • The poll included 2,315 respondents and was conducted from December 15 to 19.
  • It has a margin of error of ±2 percentage points.
  • 6% of respondents were unsure, and 1.2% said they would not vote.
  • 11.7% of Republicans said they would support a Democratic candidate.
  • Trump's current approval rating is 39.3% with a net disapproval of 20 percentage points.
  • The GOP currently has a slim majority in the House (219 to 214) and the Senate (53 to 47).
  • AtlasIntel is considered a very accurate pollster, as recognized by Nate Silver and 538.

Source Information