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U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record

U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record

Summary

The United States is experiencing the largest one-year drop in murders ever recorded, according to a crime stats expert. The decrease in murders is part of a larger trend of declining violent crime rates following increases during the COVID-19 period. The data comes from the Real-Time Crime Index, which shows a nearly 20% decline in murders from 2024 to 2025.

Key Facts

  • The U.S. is seeing the largest one-year drop in murder rates according to crime statistics expert Jeff Asher.
  • The Real-Time Crime Index shows a nearly 20% decrease in murders compared to 2024.
  • The Index's data excludes manslaughter, self-defense, negligence, or accidental killings.
  • Significant reductions in murders were recorded in New York City, Memphis, Chicago, New Orleans, and Los Angeles County.
  • A few cities like Johnston County, NC, and Gilbert, AZ, reported large increases in murder rates.
  • Other crimes, such as motor vehicle theft, aggravated assault, and robbery, also decreased.
  • President Trump has focused on reducing violent crime, but there's no confirmed link between this drop and his policies.
  • D.C. experienced a nearly 28% decline in murders, which has been attributed to increased law enforcement efforts.

Source Information