Summary
Ken Paxton is leading the Texas Senate primary race against John Cornyn and Wesley Hunt, according to prediction market Polymarket. The primary, scheduled for March 2026, is gaining national interest as it might indicate the direction of the Republican Party on issues like the economy and immigration. Recent polls show different outcomes, with some voters still undecided.
Key Facts
- Ken Paxton has 62% of the potential vote in the Polymarket prediction market.
- John Cornyn holds 28%, and Wesley Hunt has 8.8% in the same prediction market.
- Another poll by co/efficient shows Cornyn at 28% and Paxton at 27%, with 26% undecided.
- A University of Houston poll showed Paxton at 34% and Cornyn at 33%, with Hunt at 22%.
- The Texas Senate primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
- A runoff will occur in May if no candidate secures the majority.
- Public interest is high, with $735,715 in the prediction market's overall volume.
- Candidates have made public statements emphasizing their ties or opposition to President Trump.
