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Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2026?

Will Mortgage Rates Go Down in 2026?

Summary

Mortgage rates in the U.S. did not drop as much as hoped in 2025, staying around 6.22%. Experts predict that mortgage rates will remain slightly above 6% in 2026, with small reductions expected, but without significantly boosting housing affordability.

Key Facts

  • As of December 11, 2025, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.22%.
  • Mortgage rates peaked at 7.79% in October 2023.
  • Rates increased in 2022 due to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to control inflation.
  • The Federal Reserve cut rates three times in late 2025, but they still impact mortgage rates.
  • The unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November 2025.
  • Experts believe mortgage rates will stay around 6%, with little change in 2026.
  • Some forecasts suggest a slight decrease in rates to about 6.15% by the end of 2026.
  • Housing affordability may not improve significantly due to limited inventory and ongoing economic uncertainties.

Source Information