Summary
Vice President J.D. Vance is a leading contender to become the Republican presidential nominee for 2028, based on current odds from prediction markets. He has significant support in early polls, including major backing from influential conservative groups. However, other candidates, such as Marco Rubio, could still challenge him in the race for the GOP nomination.
Key Facts
- Prediction markets give J.D. Vance a 48% chance of becoming the 2028 GOP presidential nominee.
- Marco Rubio, his nearest rival, has a 12% chance, with no other candidates above 5%.
- Vance has strong support from Turning Point USA, a conservative group with a large Gen Z following.
- In an early New Hampshire primary poll, Vance received 51% of the votes, leading his closest competitors.
- Vance is the first non-sitting president to get 50% or higher in early New Hampshire polls since 1980.
- Analysts see winning New Hampshire as crucial for securing the GOP nomination.
- Marco Rubio has stated he would likely support Vance if he runs for president.
- Historically, no Republican vice president has secured the nomination in the 21st century, with George H. W. Bush being the last successful in earlier years.
