Summary
In 1999, U.S. adults made predictions about the future, anticipating changes like the election of a Black U.S. president, civilian space travel, and global warming. Many predictions, particularly about technology, came true, with notable foresight from Bill Gates on mobile devices and online services. Pew Research surveyed public opinions on these topics, revealing both optimism about technology and concerns about its impact.
Key Facts
- A 1999 survey accurately predicted a Black U.S. president and other major shifts.
- Bill Gates forecasted the rise of mobile devices and online services.
- By 2024, democratization predictions were less accurate, with an increase in authoritarian regimes.
- The majority predicted both improvements and warming in climate by 2050.
- Technological reliance in 1999 was seen as both beneficial and concerning by the public.
- Gates' predictions covered smart advertising and social media-like interactions.
- There were mixed results in health predictions, with no cure for cancer or AIDS, but advances in treatments.
- The survey foresaw a possible terrorist attack in the U.S., which occurred in 2001.
