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Republicans' Chances of Flipping Minnesota

Republicans' Chances of Flipping Minnesota

Summary

Governor Tim Walz of Minnesota will not run for another term in 2026, citing challenges handling a large fraud scandal. Despite this, Democrats are favored to win the governor's seat in Minnesota according to betting markets, with Republicans having a low chance of success. The outcome of this election could impact political strategies ahead of the national midterm elections.

Key Facts

  • Democratic Governor Tim Walz will not seek reelection in 2026 due to a fraud crisis in Minnesota.
  • The fraud involves state programs, allegedly misusing large amounts of taxpayer funds, with losses possibly exceeding $1 billion.
  • The Republican Party has a low 16% chance of winning the Minnesota governor's seat, according to an online prediction market.
  • The Democratic candidate is currently favored with an 84% chance to win the election.
  • The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
  • Potential Democratic candidates include Senator Amy Klobuchar, Attorney General Keith Ellison, and Secretary of State Steve Simon.
  • Possible Republican candidates are House Speaker Lisa Demuth, MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell, and businessman Kendall Qualls.
  • Minnesota has not elected a Republican governor since 2006.

Source Information