Summary
The Cook Political Report shows 18 U.S. House races moving in favor of the Democrats ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Democrats need three more seats to take control of the House, while Republicans face a tougher challenge to maintain their majority.
Key Facts
- The Cook Political Report updated its prediction for 18 House races, showing a shift towards Democrats.
- Democrats need three additional seats to gain a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.
- If elections were held immediately, Republicans would need to win about 75% of the toss-up races to retain House control.
- Recent trends show Democrats performing well in special elections and President Trump having low approval ratings.
- Eight races changed from "likely Democrat" to "solid Democrat," stabilizing those seats for Democrats.
- Some Republican seats in Colorado, Florida, and Tennessee turned from "solid" to "likely Republican."
- Democratic-held districts in New York, California, and New Mexico shifted to "lean Democrat."
- Districts in Texas and Ohio moved toward toss-up status due to newly redrawn maps favoring Republicans.
