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Chris Mason: Why peril could lie in the Welsh valleys for Starmer

Chris Mason: Why peril could lie in the Welsh valleys for Starmer

Summary

Upcoming elections in Wales may pose challenges for Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer, as opinion polls indicate the possibility of Labour losing its long-held position. This shift could impact not just the Welsh government but also Labour's future in broader UK politics.

Key Facts

  • Wales will hold elections for a new devolved government in approximately 100 days.
  • Labour has won every election at a devolved level in Wales since 1999.
  • Polls suggest Labour could lose its top position, a first since devolution started.
  • The Welsh elections are important because they manage public services like health and education.
  • The outcome may influence Labour's standing and future under leader Sir Keir Starmer.
  • Plaid Cymru and Reform UK are emerging as strong contenders in the upcoming elections.
  • A change in voter identity, with more people identifying as Welsh only, may be influencing the shift.
  • Labour faces challenges due to "double incumbency," as it governs in both Cardiff and London.

Source Information