Summary
A new poll suggests that if former President Barack Obama and President Donald Trump were eligible to run for president in 2028, Obama would lead Trump by 11 percentage points. Both are currently ineligible to run due to the 22nd Amendment, which prevents someone from being elected president more than twice. To change this, the U.S. Constitution would need to be amended.
Key Facts
- Barack Obama leads Donald Trump by 11 points in a 2028 hypothetical poll.
- The 22nd Amendment stops both from running again since they've each served two terms.
- The poll sampled 1,002 adults between January 13-15, 2028.
- Obama leads among Latino and Black voters, while Trump leads among white voters and Fox News viewers.
- The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
- 34% of people polled support allowing three presidential terms, but nearly 60% oppose it.
- A California bill aims to exclude Trump from the 2028 ballot due to constitutional ineligibility.
- Michelle Obama stated she would oppose Barack Obama running again.
