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Jasmine Crockett's Chances of Beating James Talarico in Texas Primary—Poll

Jasmine Crockett's Chances of Beating James Talarico in Texas Primary—Poll

Summary

U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett and state legislator James Talarico are in a close race for the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in Texas. A recent poll shows Crockett leading Talarico by a single point, with many voters still undecided. Texas, traditionally a conservative state, could play a key role in determining control of the U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterms.

Key Facts

  • Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico are the leading candidates in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in Texas.
  • A new poll shows Crockett with 38% support and Talarico with 37%, while 21% of voters remain undecided.
  • Texas's current U.S. Senate seat is held by Republican Senator John Cornyn.
  • Cornyn faces challenges from state Attorney General Ken Paxton and U.S. Representative Wesley Hunt.
  • Jasmine Crockett currently represents a district in Dallas, and James Talarico represents parts of Austin.
  • Crockett is more well-known among Texas Democrats, with a 69% favorable rating.
  • The poll surveyed 1,290 likely Democratic voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.
  • Electability concerns are part of the candidates' debates, with Talarico claiming he may appeal more to moderate voters, including those who support President Trump.

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