Account

The Actual News

Just the Facts, from multiple news sources.

Prediction markets have a fake news problem

Prediction markets have a fake news problem

Summary

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are becoming popular platforms for spreading false or misleading information online. These platforms are gaining traction in politics and media but often share unverified claims, which can spread quickly. They lack the rules that typically govern journalism, leading to misinformation reaching a large audience.

Key Facts

  • Prediction markets are online platforms where people bet on future events, combining elements from crypto and gambling.
  • Kalshi and Polymarket are two major players in this field, partnering with media and influencers as their popularity grows.
  • These platforms can quickly spread misinformation without the checks that traditional news sources have.
  • Polymarket falsely attributed comments to public figures, such as Jeff Bezos, requiring public denials.
  • Kalshi and Polymarket have shared unverified claims about global events, including content about U.S. politics and other global crises.
  • Kalshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, while Polymarket's main exchange operates outside U.S. regulation.
  • Both companies face criticism for promoting engagement-driven content that may not be accurate.

Source Information