Will Hezbollah continue to avoid responding to Israel’s attacks on Lebanon?
Summary
Israel has conducted numerous attacks on Lebanon since a ceasefire with the Lebanese group Hezbollah began 14 months ago. Despite these attacks, Hezbollah has largely refrained from responding due to its weakened state after losing key leaders in a 2024 war and remaining under pressure to disarm.Key Facts
- Hezbollah has launched only one attack on Israel since a ceasefire began in November 2024.
- Israel has committed more than 11,000 violations against Lebanon during this period, targeting areas in southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley.
- These attacks have displaced around 64,000 people in Lebanon.
- Hezbollah lost significant military leadership, including its chief Hassan Nasrallah, during the 2024 war.
- The group's ally, the al-Assad regime in Syria, fell shortly after the ceasefire, disrupting a key supply route from Iran.
- Israel continues to occupy five areas in southern Lebanon despite the ceasefire terms.
- Hezbollah's military capacity has been reduced, making it more difficult for the group to respond effectively to Israeli aggression.
- The ceasefire was intended to allow diplomatic efforts by the Lebanese government to address issues like prisoners and reconstruction.
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