James Talarico vs. Jasmine Crockett Chances of Beating Texas Republicans
Summary
A new internal poll by the National Republican Senatorial Committee in Texas shows how Democratic contenders James Talarico and Jasmine Crockett compare against key Republican figures John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in potential 2026 Senate elections. The results indicate Cornyn as a strong GOP candidate, but Paxton's matchups suggest a closer race with potential openings for Democrats.Key Facts
- Texas Democrats have not won a statewide election since 1994.
- James Talarico and Jasmine Crockett are the leading Democratic Senate candidates in Texas.
- The NRSC poll shows John Cornyn leads Talarico by 3 points and Crockett by 7 points in mock general election scenarios.
- Ken Paxton’s legal issues and polarizing image seem to impact voter perceptions negatively.
- In a hypothetical match-up, Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points, while Paxton leads Crockett by 1 point.
- Talarico leads the Democratic primary with support from Hispanic and white voters, while Crockett leads among Black voters.
- Emerson College Polling shows a likely runoff in the Republican primary with Cornyn and Paxton as frontrunners.
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