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James Talarico’s Chances of Beating Jasmine Crockett in Texas Primary—Poll

James Talarico’s Chances of Beating Jasmine Crockett in Texas Primary—Poll

Summary

A new poll shows U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett leading state Representative James Talarico in the Democratic primary for Texas' Senate race. The poll found Crockett ahead by 8 points, with both candidates viewed favorably by most voters. The Texas primary, a key race for Democrats, will take place on March 3, 2026.

Key Facts

  • Jasmine Crockett has an 8-point lead over James Talarico in a poll for the Democratic Senate primary in Texas.
  • Crockett received 47% support, while Talarico received 39%, with 12% of voters undecided.
  • The poll included 1,502 likely voters, with a margin of error of ±2.53 percentage points.
  • Texas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988 and typically votes for Republican presidential candidates.
  • The primary will be on March 3, 2026; a runoff may occur on May 26, 2026, if no candidate gets over 50% of the votes.
  • Both Crockett and Talarico are seen favorably by over 75% of Democratic voters.
  • Political tensions have increased as candidates debate their electability and past controversial remarks.
  • The primary outcome could influence how competitive the general election becomes against Republican Senator John Cornyn.
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