Trump's 'Titanic' Economy Polling Puts the Senate in Play—Analyst
Summary
President Donald Trump's economic approval rating is currently low, which could impact Republican chances in the 2026 Senate races. Concerns about inflation and affordability are significant issues for voters. Economic factors like inflation, unemployment, and GDP growth are influencing public opinion as the midterm elections approach.Key Facts
- President Trump's economic approval rating is -18 points, a decrease from his first term.
- Harry Enten, a polling analyst, suggests this could lead to Democrats gaining advantage in Senate races.
- Inflation, affordability, and uneven economic recovery are top voter concerns.
- Economic sentiment affects midterm election outcomes; presidents with poor ratings often see their party lose seats.
- The inflation rate was 2.7% in December 2025, slightly lower than in December 2024.
- The unemployment rate was 4.4% in December 2025, up from 4.1% a year prior.
- GDP growth increased to 4.4% in the third quarter of 2025.
- Average house prices have risen, affecting home affordability for first-time buyers.
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