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Republicans' Chances of Flipping Minnesota Senate Seat: Poll

Republicans' Chances of Flipping Minnesota Senate Seat: Poll

Summary

A new poll from Emerson College shows Republicans are within 10 points of Democratic candidates for a Minnesota U.S. Senate seat. The poll suggests Democrats Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig are currently leading Republican Michele Tafoya in potential matchups.

Key Facts

  • The poll is tracking the Minnesota U.S. Senate seat that will become open because Senator Tina Smith is retiring.
  • Democrats Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig lead Republican Michele Tafoya by 47% to 41% and 47% to 40%, respectively.
  • The poll included 1,000 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
  • Democratic U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar leads Republican Mike Lindell 53% to 31% in a possible governor race.
  • Minnesota's statewide primary is set for August 11, 2026, and the general election for November 3, 2026.
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