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Shrinking US Birth Rate Could Cost Economy $100 Billion

Shrinking US Birth Rate Could Cost Economy $100 Billion

Summary

The U.S. birth rate is decreasing, which could cause the economy to lose $103.9 billion. Less population growth means there are fewer people to support economic activities like spending, working, and paying taxes.

Key Facts

  • U.S. birth rate has fallen to an all-time low of 1.6 births per woman.
  • Fewer births mean the workforce and consumer numbers are shrinking.
  • The U.S. economy could miss out on $103.9 billion in its GDP.
  • Slower population growth led to 1.4 million fewer people impacting areas like housing and retail spending in 2025.
  • The decline in birth rates is creating a "demand shock," affecting industries such as housing, healthcare, and services.
  • States like California, New York, and Texas may suffer more due to reduced immigration balancing out domestic migration.
  • The population over 65 is increasing, leading to more use of social services like Social Security.
  • The Congressional Budget Office predicts population growth could stop by 2056 if trends continue.

Source Information