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Texas Democrat in Striking Distance of Beating Greg Abbott—Internal Poll

Texas Democrat in Striking Distance of Beating Greg Abbott—Internal Poll

Summary

Texas Governor Greg Abbott faces a closer-than-expected race for reelection against Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa, according to a poll. The survey shows Abbott leading Hinojosa by just three percentage points among likely voters. Hinojosa has a strong advantage among independent voters.

Key Facts

  • A new poll shows Texas Governor Greg Abbott with 46% and Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa with 43% support.
  • The poll was conducted from January 26 to February 3 with 1,000 likely Texas voters.
  • Hinojosa leads Abbott by 16 points among independent voters.
  • Abbott was comfortably reelected in 2022, and Texas has not elected a Democrat to statewide office since the early 1990s.
  • The poll was commissioned by Hinojosa’s campaign and carried out by GBAO Strategies, a Democratic firm.
  • A separate University of Houston poll shows Abbott leading Hinojosa by seven points.
  • Abbott has broader support among men, white and Latino voters, and older voters.
  • The Cook Political Report rates the Texas governor race as "solid" Republican.
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