The Actual News

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GOP angst over voter turnout builds as losses pile up

GOP angst over voter turnout builds as losses pile up

Summary

Republicans are seeing lower voter turnout in several state and local races, leading to concerns about their ability to win elections, even in areas that strongly support President Trump. Democrats are performing better than expected in these elections, highlighting a gap in voter enthusiasm between the two parties.

Key Facts

  • Republicans are losing in many state and local elections, even in areas that support President Trump.
  • Democrats are performing better by an average of 10.5 points in special state legislative elections compared to the 2024 numbers.
  • The Downballot reports an average 13.9 point overperformance by Democrats in past state House and Senate races.
  • Republicans' internal and other surveys show a decrease in support for their candidates.
  • Some Republicans link their struggles to actions by President Trump, which may be reducing enthusiasm among his supporters.
  • Democrats won a Texas Senate seat and a Louisiana House seat by significant margins in districts previously won by Trump.
  • Republicans argue that state and local election results don't necessarily predict national trends, suggesting low turnout and local factors play a role.
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