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Is US crime at a historic low?

Is US crime at a historic low?

Summary

President Donald Trump claimed that crime and murder rates in the U.S. are at their lowest in 125 years. While homicide rates may reach historic lows, violent crime is at its lowest only in decades. Experts note this trend began before Trump's current term as President.

Key Facts

  • President Trump says U.S. crime and murder rates are at their lowest in 125 years.
  • One study suggests homicides in 2025 could be at a historic low, about 4.0 per 100,000 people.
  • Violent crime rates have dropped to levels not seen since the late 1960s.
  • FBI data shows a 10% decrease in violent crimes by October 2025 compared to the previous year.
  • FBI started consistent crime statistics reporting in 1960, so long-term comparisons are limited.
  • The White House attributes falling crime rates to President Trump’s policies.
  • Some experts say crime rates began to drop after a spike around 2020, before Trump's second term.
  • A survey of large U.S. police departments reported a 19% drop in homicides in early 2025 compared to 2024.

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