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David Jolly’s Chances of Winning Florida Governor Election—Poll

David Jolly’s Chances of Winning Florida Governor Election—Poll

Summary

A new poll of the 2026 Florida governor's race shows Republican Representative Byron Donalds slightly ahead of David Jolly, a former Republican now running as a Democrat. Florida has become more Republican over the years, but Democrats are trying to make it competitive again. The poll found some voters are still undecided, which could impact the final outcome.

Key Facts

  • Byron Donalds leads David Jolly by five percentage points in the poll.
  • The poll surveyed 1,200 registered voters and has a margin of error of ±2.77 percentage points.
  • President Trump's endorsement plays a significant role, with 63% of Republicans more likely to vote for a candidate he supports.
  • David Jolly leads his Democratic primary opponent, Jerry Demings, by 8 points.
  • Byron Donalds leads in the GOP primary with 33%, ahead of other Republican candidates.
  • Florida has been moving toward the Republican side, notably supporting President Trump by large margins in the last elections.
  • Around 17% of voters are still undecided in the governor's race.
  • Betting odds and political analysts currently favor Republicans to win the governor's race.

Source Information