Summary
A new poll suggests that Democrats may have a chance to be more competitive against Republicans in Florida's 2026 governor and U.S. Senate races. While Republicans still hold an advantage, the survey shows that the gap between the parties is smaller than in past elections.
Key Facts
- A poll by the University of North Florida shows Republicans with single-digit leads in Florida's 2026 governor and U.S. Senate races.
- Florida has shifted significantly towards the Republican Party in recent years.
- Democrats gained momentum from the November 2025 off-year elections and polls showing some vulnerability for Republicans and President Donald Trump.
- Many Florida voters are unfamiliar with Democratic candidates like Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon.
- In a potential governor's race, Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly 42% to 36%, with 17% undecided.
- Republican Ashley Moody is running for a full Senate term, previously appointed when Marco Rubio joined the Trump administration.
- Moody leads Democratic candidates Vindman and Nixon by 45% to 38% and 46% to 38%, respectively.
- A large number of undecided voters could impact the outcomes as candidates raise their profiles.
