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Democrats' Odds of Flipping Montana GOP Senate Seat as Daines Bows Out

Democrats' Odds of Flipping Montana GOP Senate Seat as Daines Bows Out

Summary

Senator Steve Daines from Montana announced he will not seek reelection, leaving an open Senate seat. Betting markets predict Republicans will keep the seat, with Kurt Alme receiving endorsements from key Republicans, including President Trump. The upcoming primary is on June 2, and the general election is on November 3.

Key Facts

  • Steve Daines, a Republican Senator from Montana, is not running for reelection.
  • Kurt Alme, a former U.S. attorney, is the main GOP candidate with endorsements from Steve Daines and President Trump.
  • Betting markets show a high chance (98%) for a Republican to win the seat.
  • Democrats need to win four additional seats to regain Senate control.
  • The Cook Political Report rates the Montana seat as likely to remain Republican.
  • The primary election in Montana is on June 2, and the general election is on November 3.
  • Former Democratic Senator Jon Tester lost his seat to Republican Tim Sheehy in 2024.

Source Information