Summary
Odds of President Donald Trump being impeached during his second term have reached a record high of 67%, due to tensions in the Middle East. However, with Republicans holding the majority in Congress, actual impeachment is seen as unlikely before the midterm elections.
Key Facts
- President Donald Trump’s impeachment odds during his second term have risen to 67%, according to betting markets.
- Tensions with Iran and the Middle East conflict have led to calls for his impeachment.
- Kalshi's betting market reflects these odds, showing the highest likelihood since his return to office.
- On the Polymarket platform, odds of impeachment through 2026 have decreased to 11%.
- Republicans control both the House of Representatives and the Senate, making impeachment less likely.
- Impeachment requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate for conviction, which is difficult to achieve.
- The White House has dismissed impeachment calls, focusing on President Trump's actions against Iran.
- In December 2025, the House voted against an impeachment resolution related to Trump's comments on military orders.
