James Talarico's Chances Against Cornyn vs. Paxton a Week Before Runoff
Summary
A new poll shows Democrat James Talarico has a close chance against Republican candidates John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate race. The Republican runoff between Cornyn and Paxton is set for May 26, and the race is expected to be competitive in the general election.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed 1,223 likely voters from April 22 to May 6.
- John Cornyn leads Talarico by 1 point (45% to 44%) in one matchup.
- Talarico and Ken Paxton are tied at 45% support each in another matchup.
- Libertarian Ted Brown received 2-3% support; 8% of voters remain undecided.
- The poll’s margin of error is ±2.8 percentage points.
- The Republican primary has been contentious, which may hurt the eventual GOP nominee’s image.
- Cornyn’s campaign adviser warns Paxton could risk losing the race and affect President Trump’s agenda.
- Other recent polls also show Talarico leading or close to Republican candidates.
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