US-Iran escalation threatens oil supply recovery, warns IEA
Summary
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned that renewed fighting between the United States and Iran threatens to delay recovery in global oil supplies. Despite some diplomatic efforts and a recent agreement aiming to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing conflict continues to disrupt oil production and exports, raising concerns about energy shortages worldwide.Key Facts
- The IEA said fighting between the US and Iran could prolong the global energy crisis by disrupting oil markets.
- A recent agreement (memorandum of understanding) aimed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for about 20% of the world’s oil and natural gas exports.
- Fighting led to a closure of the strait, cutting up to 14 million barrels of oil per day from global flow.
- Global oil demand is expected to fall this year for the first time since 2020 due to conflicts in the Middle East.
- After partial reopening, oil supply rose by 4.1 million barrels per day in June but remains 9.4 million barrels below pre-war levels.
- Oil prices stayed steady around $76 per barrel despite tension, showing market hopes for diplomatic progress.
- US sources said pauses in attacks are part of efforts to support peace talks, but the US military remains ready to act if needed.
- Several Middle Eastern countries and others like Pakistan and Qatar are working to promote negotiations and avoid wider conflict.
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