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Map Shows Worst Impacted States if Social Security Funding Runs Out

Map Shows Worst Impacted States if Social Security Funding Runs Out

Summary

If Congress does not take action, Social Security retirement benefits could be cut by about 22% starting in late 2032 when the program’s trust fund is expected to run out. This could mean some retired couples losing up to nearly $17,000 a year in benefits, with the size of cuts varying by income and state.

Key Facts

  • The Social Security retirement trust fund (Old-Age and Survivors Insurance) is projected to be depleted by the fourth quarter of 2032.
  • After depletion, payroll taxes would cover only around 78% of the promised Social Security benefits.
  • A typical couple retiring around 2033 could see annual benefit cuts of about $16,900.
  • Low-income couples might lose about $10,200 yearly, while high-income couples could lose up to $22,300.
  • The cuts would affect about 60.1 million people, or 17.7% of the U.S. population.
  • States with the largest average monthly benefit cuts include Connecticut ($556), New Jersey ($554), and New Hampshire ($553).
  • The states with the most people affected are California (6 million), Florida (4.6 million), and Texas (4.3 million).
  • The proportion of residents affected is highest in Maine (22.9%), West Virginia (22.4%), and Vermont (22%).
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