James Talarico Support From Texas Independents Compared to Ken Paxton—Poll
Summary
A new poll shows Democratic Texas state Representative James Talarico leading Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate race, especially among independent voters. The poll highlights shifting voter support in Texas, a state traditionally considered conservative.Key Facts
- James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by 2 points overall, 47% to 45%, in a Texas Senate race poll.
- Among independent voters, Talarico holds a 40-point lead over Paxton (63% to 23%).
- The poll surveyed 1,200 likely Texas voters from July 27-30, 2026, with a margin of error of ±2.83 points.
- Talarico has strong support from Democratic voters (97%), while Paxton has slightly weaker Republican support (85%).
- Talarico leads by large margins among Black voters (79% to 12%) and Latino voters (19 points ahead).
- Paxton leads among white voters by 14 points (53% to 39%).
- Recent polls show Talarico leading in multiple surveys, reflecting possible political shifts in Texas ahead of the 2026 midterms.
- Paxton’s team emphasizes that the final election result on November 3 is what matters most, dismissing poll leads.
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