Trump-Backed Darline Graham's Chances of Losing to Ralph Norman—Final Odds
Summary
South Carolina Republicans will vote in a special runoff to choose between Senator Darline Graham and Representative Ralph Norman for a Senate nomination. Darline Graham, who was appointed to fill her late brother’s seat and endorsed by President Donald Trump, currently leads in prediction markets but faces a close race with Norman.Key Facts
- The runoff election is to select a Republican Senate nominee after Senator Lindsey Graham’s death.
- Darline Graham was appointed by South Carolina’s governor to temporarily hold her late brother’s Senate seat.
- President Donald Trump endorsed Darline Graham and campaigned for her recently.
- Ralph Norman is a conservative House member supporting the House Freedom Caucus and is Graham’s runoff opponent.
- In the primary, Graham received about 33% of votes, Norman about 25%, with no candidate getting a majority.
- Prediction markets currently show Graham has a 68-77% chance to win, though her odds have decreased from 89% a week earlier.
- Graham faced criticism during a debate for claiming limited knowledge on national security issues.
- Other endorsements include Senator Tim Scott and Senate Majority Leader John Thune for Graham, and former Governor Nikki Haley for Norman.
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