Tactical voting at next election could push Reform into fourth place, poll finds
Summary
A new poll shows that if many voters choose to vote tactically in the next UK election, the Labour Party could come close to winning a majority. Tactical voting means people vote for a party that is more likely to win against a party they don't want, even if it is not their first choice.Key Facts
- The poll surveyed over 8,000 voters and was done by Survation and the activist group 38 Degrees.
- Labour is predicted to get 272 seats, making it the largest party but short of a full majority.
- Reform UK is projected to be the second largest party with 153 seats, and the Conservatives third with 85 seats.
- Tactical voting could reduce Reform’s seats from 153 to 62 and increase Labour’s to 319 seats.
- About 18% of voters in key areas say they might vote tactically but have not decided yet.
- If tactical voting grows, Labour would gain many seats currently likely to be won by Reform UK.
- Left-leaning voters have been returning to Labour, partly motivated to stop Nigel Farage’s Reform UK.
- The poll suggests that uniting centrist and left voters could be a winning strategy for Labour.
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