The next phase of military rule in Egypt is here
Summary
Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi said he intends to leave office when his third term ends in April 2030, though the article notes that he has reversed similar statements before. It argues that he may be preparing a succession that preserves the military’s powerful role in Egypt’s political system, amid economic strain and concerns about accountability for his rule.Key Facts
- El-Sisi said at a military academy graduation ceremony that he plans to leave office in April 2030 and that the constitution would not be changed to extend his rule.
- El-Sisi previously denied plans to run for president in 2013 and said in 2017 that he would preserve the constitution’s term limits, but he later supported constitutional amendments in 2019.
- Egypt’s constitution, as amended in 2019, gives the armed forces a role in protecting the state and what it describes as the people’s rights and freedoms.
- Egypt’s debt is reported at 81 percent of gross domestic product, and interest payments exceed combined spending on healthcare, education, wages and subsidies.
- The Egyptian pound has lost more than 80 percent of its value against the U.S. dollar since 2014, while cumulative inflation exceeds 460 percent.
- El-Sisi came to power after the 2013 coup against President Mohamed Morsi, which was followed by mass killings and the imprisonment of tens of thousands of politicians, activists and journalists.
- The article describes speculation that el-Sisi’s announcement could be a bid to seek public support for another term or to head off possible military action, but says a military-shaped succession is more likely.
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