Summary
The war near Iran is disrupting the supply of fertiliser and its key ingredients, risking the production of up to 10 billion meals a week worldwide. This situation could especially harm poor countries and lead to higher food prices and shortages.Key Facts
- The conflict has blocked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, affecting fertiliser supplies.
- Svein Tore Holsether, CEO of fertiliser company Yara, said about half a million tons of nitrogen fertiliser are not being produced currently.
- Reduced fertiliser use could cut some crop yields by up to 50% in one season.
- Fertiliser prices have risen by 80% since the war involving the US and Israel against Iran began.
- Farmers face higher costs for energy, diesel, and fertilisers but have not seen equivalent increases in crop prices.
- A bidding war for food between richer and poorer countries may happen, making food less affordable in vulnerable nations.
- Food producers' increased costs are expected to raise food prices in the UK, possibly leading to 10% food inflation by year-end.
- The situation highlights risks of food shortages, scarcity, and hunger, especially in developing countries.
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