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The Actual News

Just the Facts, from multiple news sources.

Business News

Business news, market updates, and economic developments

Millions of US Jobs at Serious Risk, Economists Warn

Millions of US Jobs at Serious Risk, Economists Warn

Summary

A report from Oxford Economics warns that many U.S. blue-collar jobs are at risk due to automation and robotics. It states that around 20% of jobs in the American economy are at high risk of being replaced by technology that already exists and is available. The report emphasizes that automation is not expected to cause an immediate loss of jobs but will gradually affect certain sectors more.

Key Facts

  • Oxford Economics released a report about the impact of automation on U.S. jobs.
  • About 20% of U.S. jobs are highly vulnerable to being replaced by automation.
  • The report focuses on blue-collar jobs that may be affected by existing technology.
  • Sectors like transportation, logistics, manufacturing, retail, and catering are at high risk.
  • Automation is expected to increase productivity by doing more with fewer resources.
  • The report predicts a gradual shift in employment, not an immediate large-scale job loss.
  • Oxford Economics used data from the Labor Department to assess job vulnerability.
  • Nico Palesch, a senior economist, emphasized the gradual nature of technological adoption.

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'Check your payslip' warns nurse who overpaid nearly £3k in tax

'Check your payslip' warns nurse who overpaid nearly £3k in tax

Summary

A district nurse in Wales discovered that she overpaid nearly £3,000 in income tax due to an incorrect tax code. It took three months for the tax authority, HMRC, to resolve the issue and refund her money. She now warns others to check their tax codes to avoid similar problems.

Key Facts

  • Gemma Belby, a district nurse from Barry, Wales, realized she was paying too much income tax.
  • She discovered the issue during a conversation with colleagues about their salaries.
  • It took HMRC three months to process her claim and repay her nearly £3,000.
  • Initially, HMRC informed her of a refund of over £8,000 but later corrected this to about £2,863.
  • Belby expressed frustration over conflicting information and delays in receiving her refund.
  • Legally, individuals must ensure they are paying the correct amount of tax.
  • Financial journalist Martin Lewis and accounting firm Mazuma advise setting up a personal tax account to monitor tax codes.
  • An incorrect tax code can lead to overpayment or underpayment of taxes.

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Conventional Wisdom: The Economy Edition

Conventional Wisdom: The Economy Edition

Summary

The article discusses the U.S. economy in 2026, highlighting a brief rise in the stock market, a mistaken job growth report, and various individual and economic sector activities. The unemployment rate is low, but many jobs are being impacted by AI. Prominent figures comment on these economic conditions and how they compare with past expectations.

Key Facts

  • The Dow Jones Index surpassed 50,000 but dropped due to fears of an AI bubble.
  • The official unemployment rate is 4.3%, but a revision showed that many jobs added in 2025 were overestimated.
  • Individual jobs resistant to automation, like utility work, remain secure.
  • Under President Trump, there is debate on whether there is an "affordability crisis."
  • The current U.S. budget under a Republican Congress is $1.6 trillion, maintaining previous spending levels.
  • Former Fed economist Claudia Sahm's work suggested a slowdown in job growth, now confirmed by revised reports.
  • Lohanny Santos became successful by discussing economic challenges online.
  • Peter Steinberger joined AI company OpenAI amid fears of AI replacing office jobs.
  • DraftKings CEO Jason Robins promotes online gambling expansion as an untaxed revenue source.

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Homeowners Get Worrying Prediction for 2026

Homeowners Get Worrying Prediction for 2026

Summary

Home prices in the United States are expected to decrease by 2026 as sellers adjust their expectations to improve affordability. Builders have already been lowering prices to attract buyers, as high home prices and borrowing costs have reduced demand. The typical home price is much higher compared to household income, making it difficult for many to afford buying.

Key Facts

  • The National Association of Home Builders predicts existing home prices will decrease by 2026.
  • Currently, typical home prices are 4.9 times higher than median household income.
  • Historically, home prices have been about three times higher than household income.
  • Builders have been cutting home prices since 2022 to encourage sales.
  • In October 2025, new homes cost less on average than existing homes.
  • Many new homes are built smaller to meet demand for cheaper options.
  • Roughly 19.3% of new homes sold at a discount in late 2025, compared to 18% of existing homes.
  • Some economists believe home prices will continue to increase, but slowly.

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Map Shows Where Home Prices Falling Fastest

Map Shows Where Home Prices Falling Fastest

Summary

Home prices in the U.S. saw small increases overall in January, but some regions experienced price drops. Austin, Texas had the largest year-over-year decrease. Different regional factors are causing a divide in the housing market, affecting prices differently across the country.

Key Facts

  • Home prices rose 0.3% in January compared to the previous month.
  • Austin, Texas saw a 4.2% decrease in home prices year-over-year.
  • Warren, Michigan had the biggest month-over-month price decrease at 1.5%.
  • Philadelphia saw a 2.6% increase in home prices from December to January.
  • San Francisco had a 14.3% increase in home prices compared to a year ago.
  • Some U.S. areas are experiencing higher supply, leading to falling prices.
  • Lower mortgage rates are making it easier for some buyers to purchase homes.
  • Regional differences are splitting the housing market, with some areas seeing stable demand and others facing price corrections.

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Reform plans to keep UK's budget watchdog

Reform plans to keep UK's budget watchdog

Summary

Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, plans to keep the UK's budget watchdog, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), if they win the next general election. Robert Jenrick, Reform UK's economic spokesman, will support the OBR's role and propose reforms instead of abolishing it, aiming to assure financial markets and businesses of the party's economic credibility.

Key Facts

  • Reform UK plans to keep the OBR if they win the next election.
  • Robert Jenrick, Reform UK's economic spokesman, supports the OBR and suggests reforms.
  • Nigel Farage initially questioned the need for the OBR.
  • The OBR evaluates the UK economy and government spending plans independently.
  • Robert Jenrick aims to reassure financial markets and businesses by maintaining the OBR.
  • Jenrick criticized the Bank of England but supported its role in setting interest rates.
  • Previously, Farage reconsidered a promise for significant tax cuts to boost the party's economic reputation.
  • Reform UK's plans for the OBR have received criticism from other political figures.

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Historic trade deals put India on global stage - but challenges remain

Historic trade deals put India on global stage - but challenges remain

Summary

India recently signed major trade agreements with the European Union and the United States. These deals aim to boost trade, but experts note that India faces challenges in effectively using these agreements. Many exporters struggle with complex documentation and rules, which can limit their benefits.

Key Facts

  • India signed substantial trade deals with the EU and the US in 2026.
  • These deals mark India's 10th free trade agreement since 2014.
  • Trade talks began with the Gulf Cooperation Council, which is involved in 15% of India's global trade.
  • Historically, India only uses about 25% of its trade agreements effectively, compared to 70%-80% in developed countries.
  • Between 2017 and 2022, India's exports to FTA partners increased by 31%, while imports rose by 82%.
  • Recent improvements in trade infrastructure have helped boost export growth since 2023.
  • Exporters face challenges such as complex rules of origin and high documentation costs.
  • Self-certification for origin under the EU deal presents legal and financial risks for exporters.

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I invested £12,000 in Brewdog  - I think I've lost it all

I invested £12,000 in Brewdog - I think I've lost it all

Summary

Richard Fisher invested £12,000 in Brewdog, a craft beer company known for its "Equity for Punks" crowdfunding scheme. Many small investors like him are concerned their investments may be lost due to Brewdog considering a sale, which may favor larger stakeholders like the US equity firm TSG Consumer Partners.

Key Facts

  • Richard Fisher invested £12,000 in Brewdog through its "Equity for Punks" scheme.
  • Brewdog raised about £75 million from small investors between 2009 and 2021.
  • Brewdog's "Equity for Punks" was a crowdfunding scheme allowing people to buy shares and get perks like discounts and event invitations.
  • In 2017, US equity firm TSG Consumer Partners bought a 22% stake in Brewdog with preference shares.
  • Preference shares give TSG priority for getting their investment back if Brewdog is sold.
  • Some investors are worried they may lose money if Brewdog’s value has decreased.
  • Brewdog offered trading days for shareholders to buy or sell shares, but the last one was in 2022.
  • Richard found out about TSG's stake and its implications on an online forum.

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Bayer reaches $7.25B settlement over Monsanto's Roundup accusations

Bayer reaches $7.25B settlement over Monsanto's Roundup accusations

Summary

Bayer, a German company, has agreed to pay $7.25 billion to settle many lawsuits. These cases claim that Roundup, a weed killer, caused cancer. This settlement covers claims for up to 21 years and replaces a prior 2020 agreement.

Key Facts

  • Bayer settled lawsuits for $7.25 billion over claims that Roundup caused cancer.
  • The lawsuits involve allegations of people developing non-Hodgkin lymphoma from Roundup.
  • Bayer owns Roundup after buying Monsanto in 2018.
  • An earlier $10 billion settlement in 2020 was abandoned due to legal issues.
  • The new settlement covers claims over a 21-year period, unlike the 4 years in the old agreement.
  • Bayer awaits a Supreme Court ruling that could affect Roundup's sale in the U.S.
  • Analysts believe Bayer is likely to win the case, which would limit future lawsuits.
  • Bayer's stock increased by 6% following the announcement of the settlement.

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Warner Bros rejects latest Paramount bid but open to ‘best and final’ offer

Warner Bros rejects latest Paramount bid but open to ‘best and final’ offer

Summary

Warner Bros Discovery, known for franchises like Game of Thrones and Harry Potter, has rejected an offer from Paramount Skydance to buy the company. They are open to a final offer within a week, while continuing plans for a merger with Netflix. The deals face regulatory challenges due to industry consolidation concerns.

Key Facts

  • Warner Bros Discovery turned down Paramount Skydance's offer of $30 per share.
  • Paramount has seven days to make a final offer, possibly of $31 per share.
  • Warner Bros is currently working on a merger deal with Netflix.
  • Warner Bros shareholders will vote on the Netflix merger on March 20.
  • Paramount Skydance has made six previous offers before the Netflix deal was announced.
  • Both potential deals are facing regulatory scrutiny in Washington, D.C.
  • Paramount Skydance's CEO reportedly promised changes to Warner Bros' CNN.
  • CBS News, owned by Paramount, made moves seen as aimed at pleasing President Trump.

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Is There A Gen Z Jobs Crisis?

Is There A Gen Z Jobs Crisis?

Summary

The article discusses the high unemployment rate affecting young people from Generation Z. It covers the reasons behind this trend and mentions changes in the leadership of the political party Reform UK.

Key Facts

  • Unemployment is at its highest point in nearly five years.
  • Young people from Generation Z are most affected by unemployment.
  • BBC business editor Simon Jack discusses the factors behind this trend.
  • Nigel Farage announced a new leadership team for Reform UK, calling it a 'shadow cabinet.'
  • The article is part of a regular news analysis program called Newscast.
  • Newscast episodes are available on BBC Sounds and smart speakers.

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US president’s son Eric Trump invests in drone maker with gov’t contracts

US president’s son Eric Trump invests in drone maker with gov’t contracts

Summary

President Donald Trump's son, Eric Trump, is investing in an Israeli drone maker, Xtend, as part of a $1.5 billion merger with a Florida construction company, JFB Construction Holdings. The deal raises conflict-of-interest concerns because it involves the Trump family's business dealings during Trump's presidency. Xtend has been involved with the U.S. Department of Defense and was selected for a program aimed at increasing the use of low-cost drones.

Key Facts

  • Eric Trump is investing in a $1.5 billion merger between Israeli drone maker Xtend and Florida's JFB Construction Holdings.
  • The merger aims to make Xtend a public company.
  • Xtend's drones have been used by Israel's military and have recently secured a multimillion-dollar contract with the Pentagon.
  • The U.S. Department of Defense has included Xtend in its Drone Dominance Program, which focuses on deploying low-cost drones.
  • Xtend had previously secured an $8.8 million contract with the Pentagon in December 2024.
  • The merger raises concerns about conflicts of interest linked to the Trump family's business activities during President Trump's term.
  • JFB Construction, involved in the merger, specializes in building commercial properties and has appointed a former White House attorney to its board.
  • Eric Trump expressed optimism about the potential of drone technology and its future market growth.

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Bayer offers $7.25bn to settle weedkiller cancer claims

Bayer offers $7.25bn to settle weedkiller cancer claims

Summary

Bayer is offering $7.25 billion to settle claims in the U.S. that its Roundup weedkiller causes cancer. The settlement aims to resolve ongoing legal issues that arose after Bayer bought Monsanto, the original maker of Roundup. The proposal needs a judge's approval and involves payments over 21 years, mainly targeting patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma.

Key Facts

  • Bayer has proposed a $7.25 billion settlement to address claims that Roundup causes cancer.
  • The settlement is part of Bayer's effort to resolve legal issues linked to its 2015 purchase of Monsanto.
  • Bayer has already paid about $10 billion for Roundup-related lawsuits.
  • A judge must approve the new settlement for it to proceed.
  • The settlement primarily concerns non-Hodgkin lymphoma cases, a type of blood cancer.
  • Patients exposed to Roundup before February 17, 2023, and diagnosed within 16 years can receive payments.
  • The bulk of the $7.25 billion payout will occur in the first five years, over a total of 21 years.
  • Bayer also expects to pay $3 billion for other Roundup-related cases, including state claims about chemical usage.

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Why youth unemployment is rising

Why youth unemployment is rising

Summary

Youth unemployment is increasing, which means more young people are without jobs. This issue is part of broader challenges affecting the economy.

Key Facts

  • Youth unemployment refers to young people who are looking for work but cannot find jobs.
  • The rise in youth unemployment is happening alongside other economic issues.
  • The article connects youth unemployment to challenges in the broader economy.
  • No specific reasons for the increase in youth unemployment are detailed in the content provided.
  • Understanding changes in employment requires looking at various economic factors.

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Shein under EU investigation over childlike sex dolls

Shein under EU investigation over childlike sex dolls

Summary

The European Union is investigating the fashion company Shein for possibly breaking digital laws, including selling childlike sex dolls and having an "addictive" website design. The investigation will look into how Shein prevents illegal products and checks how their website suggests items to shoppers. Shein has stated they are working to improve safety and compliance with EU laws.

Key Facts

  • The European Union has started an investigation into Shein, a fast fashion company.
  • The investigation will check if Shein sold illegal products, like childlike sex dolls.
  • Shein removed the childlike sex dolls from its website and banned the sellers.
  • The EU is also examining if Shein’s website has an "addictive" design.
  • The inquiry will look at how Shein's website suggests products to customers.
  • Under the Digital Services Act, Shein must disclose how its recommender systems work.
  • Potential fines for Shein could be up to 6% of its worldwide sales if found guilty.
  • Shein has stated they are working to follow EU laws and ensure a safe shopping experience.

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Warner Bros reopens takeover talks with Paramount after receiving waiver from Netflix

Warner Bros reopens takeover talks with Paramount after receiving waiver from Netflix

Summary

Warner Bros. Discovery is talking to Paramount about a possible takeover after getting permission from Netflix to do so. While these talks happen, Warner Bros. still supports its earlier merger deal with Netflix. Paramount wants to buy Warner Bros. outright, offering more money per share than Netflix did, but Warner Bros. is considering both offers.

Key Facts

  • Warner Bros. Discovery is in takeover talks with Paramount, which is owned by Skydance.
  • Netflix has allowed Warner Bros. one week to negotiate with Paramount.
  • Warner Bros. supports its existing merger deal with Netflix, which is worth $72 billion.
  • Paramount's offer includes Warner Bros.' entire company for $77.9 billion, or $108 billion including debt.
  • Paramount's bid is $30 per share, higher than Netflix's $27.75 per share offer.
  • Paramount is willing to increase its bid to $31 per share.
  • Warner Bros. will hold a shareholder vote on the Netflix deal.
  • Paramount is trying to gain more shareholder support with incentives, like a "ticking fee."

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After Colbert says CBS blocked interview, FCC commissioner weighs in on 'equal time'

After Colbert says CBS blocked interview, FCC commissioner weighs in on 'equal time'

Summary

Stephen Colbert, a late-night TV host, claims CBS stopped him from showing an interview with James Talarico, who is running for Senate in Texas. CBS stated they only advised Colbert about the 'equal-time rule,' which is a guideline by the FCC. This rule can come into play when broadcasting political content during election times.

Key Facts

  • Stephen Colbert is a host on late-night TV.
  • He wanted to show an interview with James Talarico, a Texas Senate candidate.
  • CBS advised against airing the interview due to the 'equal-time rule.'
  • The 'equal-time rule' is a guideline from the FCC.
  • This rule makes sure all candidates receive similar airtime on TV.
  • CBS and Colbert have different views on whether the interview was actually blocked.

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Trump administration backs Kalshi and Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

Trump administration backs Kalshi and Polymarket as states move to ban prediction markets

Summary

The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal dispute with states that want to ban prediction markets. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), now led by Michael Selig, is involved in the case, which involves how sports betting is regulated. President Trump's son has financial interests in these companies.

Key Facts

  • The Trump administration is supporting Kalshi and Polymarket in a legal case.
  • These companies run prediction markets, which let people bet on the outcome of events.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is currently regulating these markets.
  • Michael Selig, the new CFTC chairman, expressed support for Kalshi and Polymarket.
  • Some states are suing these companies, claiming they break state gambling laws.
  • President Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., has invested in Polymarket and advises Kalshi.
  • The CFTC’s involvement allows these markets to operate in all 50 states.
  • The outcome of the case could affect how gambling is regulated in the U.S.

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Ex-Carillion boss fined for 'reckless' actions

Ex-Carillion boss fined for 'reckless' actions

Summary

Richard Howson, the former chief of Carillion, has been fined by the UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for acting recklessly and not addressing the company's known financial issues. Carillion, a major construction company in the UK, collapsed in 2018 due to significant debt, leading to job losses and project delays.

Key Facts

  • Richard Howson was the CEO of Carillion from 2012 to July 2017.
  • The FCA fined Howson £237,000 for misleading actions about Carillion's financial state.
  • Carillion collapsed in January 2018 with debts of about £1.5 billion.
  • The company had about 43,000 employees, including 19,000 in the UK at the time of collapse.
  • Carillion's failure impacted major projects like the Midland Metropolitan Hospital and the Royal Liverpool Hospital.
  • The FCA stated that Howson failed to act on warning signs of financial trouble and gave misleading information.
  • Two other former finance directors at Carillion were also fined for their involvement in misleading financial statements.

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'The search is soul-destroying': Young jobseekers on the struggle to find work

'The search is soul-destroying': Young jobseekers on the struggle to find work

Summary

Many young people in the UK are finding it hard to get jobs. The unemployment rate for those aged 16 to 24 is much higher than the national average. Factors like business cost pressures and the rise of AI are making entry-level jobs scarce, especially in sectors like retail and hospitality.

Key Facts

  • The unemployment rate for UK young people (ages 16 to 24) is 16.1%, which is higher than the national rate of 5.1%.
  • Businesses cutting costs due to factors like a higher minimum wage and AI are reducing job opportunities for young workers.
  • AI technology is taking over tasks usually done by entry-level workers, reducing available jobs.
  • Some jobseekers are using AI to help with job applications, but it's also used by companies for screening and interviews.
  • The UK government plans to help young people find work through a Youth Guarantee Scheme focusing on apprenticeships and employment.
  • Lucy Gabb, a recent Cambridge graduate, is struggling to find work in her field and currently works in a cafe.
  • Many young people must accept jobs outside their field of study to earn an income, like Olivia Diss, who is applying for retail jobs.

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